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December 12th, 2011
Last week, Fannie Mae released their National Housing Survey for the third quarter of 2011. They survey the American public on a multitude of questions concerning today’s housing market. Each quarter, we like to pull out some of the findings we deem most interesting. Here they are for the most recent report:
Most Important Reasons to Buy a Home
The study shows that the four major reasons a person buys a home have nothing to do with money. The top four reasons, in order, are:
- § It means having a good place to raise children and provide them with a good education
- § You have a physical structure where you and your family feel safe
- § It allows you to have more space for your family
- § It gives you control of what you do with your living space (renovations and updates)
When we talk about homeownership today, it seems that the financial aspects always jump to the front of the discussion. There is no doubt that families must justify a home purchase from a financial point of view today. However, the reasons they actually buy are the same reasons our parents and grandparents purchased their home – to create a better lifestyle for their families.
The Home as an Investment
Though most people purchase a home for non-financial reasons, everyone realizes there is a money component to homeownership. Here is what they said on this issue:
- § 64% of the general population (and 69% of homeowners) believe that homeownership is a ‘safe’ investment.
- § 55% believe that homeownership has more potential as an investment than any other traditional asset class.
- § 68% think that now is a good time to buy a home
Rent vs. Buy
We are always interested in the difference people see in renting vs. owning.
- § 63% of renters have aspirations to someday own their own home
- § 70% of renters think that owning is superior to renting
- § 96% of homeowners see homeownership as a positive experience (4% see it as a negative experience) while 83% of renters see renting as a positive experience (15% see it as a negative experience)
- § 97% of homeowners live in a single family residence while 53% of renters live in a multi-unit building
Bottom Line
Even in these difficult times, Americans still realize the value of homeownership both from a financial and social standpoint.
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December 12th, 2011
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As the presidential debates start to heat up, there will be comments about the Administration’s Health Care Bill. We are again getting many questions about a possible 3.8% tax on home sales that some claim is in the bill. To answer these questions, we have decided to re-run a blog post we did last year.We have received many questions about a possible 3.8% tax which will be put on home sales beginning in 2013. We want to do our best to clarify this situation for everyone. We are not accountants and give you this information just as a simple answer to the misconception. Understand that, when it comes to IRS regulations, you should check with your accountant for the most accurate and up-to-date information.
A little history on the confusion
Fact Check.org explains it this way:
The truth is that only a tiny percentage of home sellers will pay the tax. First of all, only those with incomes over $200,000 a year ($250,000 for married couples filing jointly) will be subject to it. And even for those who have such high incomes, the tax still won’t apply to the first $250,000 on profits from the sale of a personal residence — or to the first $500,000 in the case of a married couple selling their home.
We can understand how this misconception got started. The law itself is couched in highly technical language that only a qualified tax expert can fully grasp. (This provision begins on page 33 of the reconciliation bill that was passed and signed into law.) And it does say the tax falls on “net gain … attributable to the disposition of property.” That would include the sale of a home. But the bill also says the tax falls only on that portion of any gain that is “taken into account in computing taxable income” under the existing tax code. And the fact is, the first $250,000 in profit on the sale of a primary residence (or $500,000 in the case of a married couple) is excluded from taxable income already. (That exclusion doesn’t apply to vacation homes or rental properties.)
The Joint Committee on Taxation, the group of nonpartisan tax experts that Congress relies on to analyze tax proposals, underscores this in a footnote on page 135 of its report on the bill. The note states: “Gross income does not include … excluded gain from the sale of a principal residence.”
And just to be sure, we checked with William Ahern, director of policy and communications for the nonprofit, pro-business Tax Foundation. “Some home sales would see a tax increase under this bill,” Ahern told us, “but it would have to be a second home or a principal residence generating [a gain of] more than $250,000 ($500,000 for a couple).”
Simple Explanation:
The following simple explanation comes from midiShaw:
The tax will affect those sellers of real property who will be otherwise taxed on capital gains under current tax laws. Under current laws, if you sell your primary residence and meet the ‘time ‘ criteria, you are exempt up to $250,000 or $500,000 (filing individually or jointly). Any amount realized OVER that amount is taxable under current tax schedules based on income. As such, this new tax will apparently be added to the current capital gains tax burden IF your income is over $200,000/$250,000 (filing individually or jointly). For those selling second homes and investment properties, the tax, once again, will be applied to the amount of gain realized.
Detailed Explanation:
The following also comes from midiShaw in a comment to the above answer.
Beginning in 2013, the national health care reform legislation that became law in March, 2010, imposes a new 3.8 percent tax on certain investment income. The new tax will apply to single filers with incomes over $200,000 and married taxpayers with incomes over $250,000. Under the law, the investment tax provisions in Chapter 2A of the Internal Revenue Code are placed under the heading “Unearned Income Medicare Contribution.” In general, this new Medicare tax will apply to investment income that is subject to income tax, which includes capital gains. Pursuant to IRC Section 1402 (C)(1)(A)(iii), the investment income to which this new tax applies includes “net gain” (to the extent taken into account in computing taxable income) attributed to the disposition of property that qualifies as a capital asset under Section 1221 (capital gains), as well as gains on other property that are considered part of ordinary income.
We offer this just as an explanation. Remember, when it comes to IRS regulations, you should check with your accountant for the most accurate and up-to-date information.
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December 12th, 2011
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There is no doubt that the housing market is stumbling to a recovery. This past week Lawrence Yun, NAR’s chief economist, predicted a 4% increase in sales next year. Last month, Celia Chen of Moody’s Analytics projected sales to increase over 20% in 2012. Any increase in transactions will be welcomed.
However, we believe there is one headwind that could jeopardize a recovery: fragile consumer confidence. Consumer sentiment, as measured by the University of Michigan, has seen modest improvement in the last few months after nose diving over the previous several months. Moving forward, any hit to consumer confidence will impact a real estate rebound.
Prices are predicted to soften through the first two quarters of 2012 before reaching modest levels of appreciation by year’s end. Falling prices will force more homeowners into a position of negative equity. Being underwater is one of the triggers that cause people to strategically default on their mortgage obligations. If this happens, there will be an increase in the number of foreclosures. This, in turn, could cause a relapse in consumer sentiment.
Bottom Line
We believe that there will be a dramatic increase in residential real estate transactions (both existing sales and new construction sales). The only thing that may stand in the way is a loss of confidence in a housing recovery. The next six months will tell us a lot regarding this possibility.
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December 12th, 2011
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In any business, whether it be real estate or other, in order to be successful one must have a systematic approach to their craft. This holds true when putting a short sale transaction together. During our 5 year tenure negotiating short sales, we have found that some Real Estate professionals lack such an approach.
I learned early in my mortgage career that if I submitted a lackluster credit file to my underwriting department I would receive lackluster results. These results included denied files, upset underwriters and a processing department that wanted to throw the file back on my desk faster than I wanted it submitted. I quickly remedied the situation after a conversation with a very good friend who is a million dollar producer in the financial services industry. He shared with me his systematic approach when handling his clients. He did not sway from this system. He applied the approach to every client that he spoke to. He did the work up front, asking every detailed question imaginable on his fact finding sheet. He left no stone unturned. Though sometimes monotonous in nature, this systematic approach allowed him to implement a solid financial plan for his clients and provide the bridge to a solid financial future.
I quickly adopted a similar approach with my clients. I was able to come up with a systematic approach to my origination method that was both trackable and attainable. I left no stone unturned when speaking to my clients. I made sure I over documented the credit file and provided a complete and accurate credit profile to my underwriting department for every client I had the pleasure of writing a loan for. The results were amazing. I was pushing files through underwriting with transaction speeds never seen before and I was making allies doing so. When the processing and underwriting departments received a file from me, they knew it would only have to be touched one time and a conditional approval would be granted. They actually wanted to receive files from me rather than wanting to throw them back on my desk. Success!
I share this information because the short sale application process is very similar to the loan origination process.
However, if you take a shot gun approach rather than a targeted systematic approach to the process, you will set yourself up for failure. Below are the documents one must attain to make sure the short selling bank does not throw the file back on your desk when submitting the file for short sale approval:
Financial Information
- § Tax information
- § Two most recent 1040′s
- § Two most recent W2′s
- § 60 days of current bank statements
- § 30 days of current pay stubs or commission check stubs
- § If self employed-pay stubs or YTD profit and loss statement
- § Monthly budget/financial statement signed and dated same day as P&S
- § Hardship letter dated signed same day as purchase contract
- § Any docs supporting the actual hardship
- § Medical bills
- § Child support or alimony payment information. Divorce decree or child support order
- § 1st Mortgage statement
- § 2nd Mortgage statement if applicable
- § Recent Real Estate tax bills
- § Recent condo association bills if applicable
- § Any recent water or sewer bills
- § Authorization form
- § Short sale disclosure
- § Waiver of conflict if representing the buyer
- § 3 recent comps
- § Listing agreement
- § Offer/P&S
- § Listing history
- § Buyer proof of funds letter or Pre Approval letter
Hardship information
Mortgage & Other Relevant Property Information
Other Pertinent Documentation
It is important to understand that the above documents are required for almost every short selling bank. There are also bank specific forms that, in most cases, must accompany the above. You may contact your negotiator or the bank directly to obtain the bank specific documents. However, if you make an attempt to structure a document checklist with the above documents and systematically approach every short sale file with the idea of fulfilling that checklist, you will soon see that the short sale process will be one which will prove to be lucrative. The end result will be a happy buyer, seller, production team and, of course, bank negotiator. After all, a systematic approach to the short sale process will alleviate the negotiator throwing the file back on your desk for deficient information. In fact, they will be eagerly awaiting the next file with your name on it!
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December 12th, 2011
Many buyers are delaying a decision to purchase a home because of the volatility of the real estate market. There is no larger category exhibiting this behavior than those of Generation Y. To define this segment of the population, we go to Wikipedia:
Generation Y, also known as the Millennial Generation (or Millennials), Generation Next, Net Generation, or Echo Boomers, describes the demographic cohort following Generation X. There are no precise dates for when the Millennial generation starts and ends, and commentators have used birth dates ranging somewhere from the mid-1970s to the early 2000s.
Does this generation wish to own a home?
Yes. A recent survey completed by Trulia shows people between the ages of 18-34 still believe in the concept of home ownership. 65% of those surveyed said “their American Dream includes owning a home”.
Where are these adults living?
Recently John Burns Real Estate Consulting shows the number of adults living with their parents has dramatically increased over the past eight years. Below is a graph showing the numbers:
Bottom Line
Generation Y believes in homeownership. Yet, they are delaying the decision to purchase a home of their own. When they do decide to buy, they will impact the housing market in a big way.
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September 13th, 2011
We here at KCM are often accused of allowing our belief in the benefits of owning a home to impact how we report on the housing market. We do not hide from the fact that we believe homeownership is a major piece of the American Dream. However, we still try to accurately report on the facts behind all industry news. Yet, there seems to be a consorted effort by some media to concentrate on only the negative aspects of any report which is released on housing.
As an example, when Fannie Mae released their most recent monthly National Housing Survey, DSNews ran an article titled Americans Harbor Glum Outlook for Housing and the Economy. With a title like that, you would think Americans saw both the economy and housing in a free fall.
The Economy
The survey definitely showed that Americans were troubled by the economy:
The percent of Americans who believe the economy is on the wrong track was 78 percent in August, up from 70 percent in July.
Almost eight out of ten surveyed think the economy is going in the wrong direction. That is definitely a gloomy outlook.
The Housing Market
It is true that the percentage of Americans who said home prices would ‘go down’ ticked up compared to last month (27% from 24%). However, the study also showed that sixty-nine percent believe prices would ‘go up’ or ‘stay the same’. *
Also, 69% of those surveyed said it is a ‘good time to buy a home’. That percentage is UP three percent from last month.
How is that a ‘glum outlook’?
Bottom Line
More than two out of three Americans think that prices will remain stable or increase. Over two out of three believe it is a good time to buy. Why is the media telling us that this report shows Americans are glum about the housing market?
*We are not saying we agree with this portion of the survey. We do believe prices will soften. We are asking why the media is reporting on this particular survey and saying something other than what is actually being reported.
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September 12th, 2011
It has been a trying time for most segments of the real estate industry. However, two areas that are showing improvement are the luxury home and vacation home markets. It seems that people in these segments are again beginning to purchase.
Vacation Homes
Last week Market Watch published an article discussing the vacation home market. Dan White, president of Daniel A. White & Associates, a wealth-management firm in the Philadelphia area, was quoted in the article.
“A lot of people are worried about the [stock] market today because of the volatility and the fact we could be going into a double-dip recession. They’re looking for other avenues. Real estate, if we’re not at the bottom [in prices], people think we’re pretty darn close.”
The article also explained some purchasers are seeing this as an opportunity to buy a vacation/retirement home:
“Some baby boomers are seizing an opportunity to get a deal on a vacation home they can enjoy now but that’s also a home that eventually will become their primary residence when they retire.”
Luxury Homes
Along with the vacation home market, the luxury market has also made a comeback. HousingWire reported on the luxury market last month:
“In the nation’s top 20 markets, million-dollar property sales rose 18% in 2010 with a 21% increase in California, said Laurie Moore-Moore, CEO of The Institute for Luxury Home Marketing, a Dallas-based firm…
In Miami, 517 properties sold for $2 million or more during the first seven months of 2011, up nearly 16% from a year early
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September 8th, 2011
In this difficult housing market, more and more homeowners are considering renting their house instead of adjusting the price. We strongly believe that residential real estate is a great investment and therefore can understand this thinking. However, if you have no desire to actually become an educated investor in this sector, you may be headed for more trouble than you were looking for.
Before renting your home, you should take the following steps to make sure this is the right course of action for you and your family.
Set a consultation appointment with an eviction attorney
People rent out their homes assuming that every tenant will pay the rent every month. We must realize, because of the current economy, there are millions of people not paying their mortgage. There is a chance you may rent to someone who at some point can’t (or simply won’t) pay you the rent. Understand what the legal challenges of eviction could potentially be before deciding to rent your home
Interview property managers
If you are not a full-time investor, hire a professional to handle the property. You need someone to find a qualified tenant, collect the rent and manage the problems. You don’t want to have to make collection calls. What would you say if a tenant told you that they had enough money to either buy food for their children or pay you your rent but not both? You need a person experienced with these situations to help.
You also don’t want to receive calls at all hours of the day and night regarding maintenance issues or challenges a neighbor may be creating for your tenant.
Create an honest budget
Sure, you will receive revenue in the form of rent. However, don’t forget you will also have expenses. Some of the expenses you should consider:
- Mortgage Payment (unless there is no mortgage on the home you will rent out)
- Property Taxes
- Maintenance Expenses such as repairing or replacing: roof, heating/air conditioning unit, appliances, etc.
- Insurance – Check with your insurance company who may suggest or demand that you increase your liability coverage.
Bottom Line
Again, renting out residential real estate historically is a great investment. However, it is not without its challenges. Make sure you have decided that you want to rent the house because you want to be an investor, not because it looks like an easier way out than selling the house.
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September 8th, 2011
Yesterday, Fannie Mae released their National Housing Survey for the second quarter of 2011. They survey the American public on a multitude of questions concerning today’s housing market. Each quarter, we like to pull out some of the findings we deem most interesting. Here they are for the most recent report:
Most Important Reasons to Buy a Home
When we talk about homeownership today, it seems that the financial aspects always jump to the front of the discussion. However, the study shows that the four major reasons a person buys a home have nothing to do with money. The top four reasons, in order, are:
- It means having a good place to raise children and provide them with a good education
- You have a physical structure where you and your family feel safe
- It allows you to have more space for your family
- It gives you control of what you do with your living space (renovations and updates)
The Home as an Investment
Though most people purchase a home for non-financial reasons, everyone realizes there is a money component to homeownership. Here is what they said on this issue:
- 65% of the general population (and 67% of homeowners) believe that homeownership is a ‘safe’ investment.
- 56% believe that homeownership has more potential as an investment than any other traditional asset class.
- 69% think that now is a good time to buy a home (this number has increased in each of the last two quarters)
Rent vs. Buy
We are always interested in the difference people see in renting vs. owning.
- 63% of renters have aspirations to someday own their own home
- 72% of renters think that owning is superior to renting
- 95% of homeowners see homeownership as a positive experience (4% see it as a negative experience) while 82% of renters see renting as a positive experience (17% see it as a negative experience)
- 96% of homeowners live in a single family residence while 46% of renters live in a multi-unit building
Bottom Line
Even in difficult times, Americans still realize the value of homeownership.
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Posted in Real Estate | No Comments »
September 8th, 2011
For the last couple of weeks, all we have heard is how bad the current economic situation is. The markets are going to crash and interest rates are going to skyrocket. Panic has definitely engulfed the entire country.
Consumer confidence, as measured by the University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment Survey, has fallen to a number not seen in thirty years. This panic has actually had a negative impact on the economy.
It was said best by Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Economy:
“Confidence normally reflects economic conditions; it doesn’t shape them…
Yet at times, particularly during economic turning points, cause and effect can shift. Sentiment can be so harmed that businesses, consumers and investors freeze up, turning a gloomy outlook into a self-fulfilling prophecy. This is one of those times.”
What does the data actually show?
We decided to look at certain economic indicators and compare them to the numbers from a year ago. Here is what we found:

We are not making the argument that the current numbers are worth celebrating. We are only suggesting that the sky is not falling.
Bottom Line
Conditions aren’t as dire as some are professing. Make good sound financial decisions based on your own economic conditions. There is no need to panic.
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